Coleraine FC 1-2 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.08
6+ Goals
8%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.25
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
10%
4.89
X/2
12%
6.43
X/X
14%
4.29
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.94
2/X
5%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
1.33/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.08
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Larne FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
10.11.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
01.09.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
27.04.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 5-0 HT 3-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
09.03.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
17.11.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC nicked a narrow win over Coleraine FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Larne FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.83 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Larne FC?

Coleraine FC 1-2 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 40%, draw 28%, Larne FC 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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