Ballymena United 1-1 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.71
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
22%
4.63
X/2
9%
7.54
X/X
16%
4.84
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
7%
5.73
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.34/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.88
-18% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.01.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
30.11.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
17.09.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-4 HT 0-2 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
13.04.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
15.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
09.09.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ballymena United and 1.17 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?

Ballymena United 1-1 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 46%, draw 31%, Carrick Rangers 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ballymena United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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