Linfield FC 2-0 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.87
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.75
X/1
17%
3.94
X/2
11%
12.25
X/X
12%
5.92
2/1
9%
22.9
2/2
10%
10.3
2/X
8%
19.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-14.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.83/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.08
-10% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-2 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
17.12.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
17.08.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
27.01.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
16.01.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
09.12.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-3 HT 1-3 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC beat Dungannon Swifts 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Linfield FC and 1.17 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Linfield FC 2-0 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 48%, draw 25%, Dungannon Swifts 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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