Dungannon Swifts 0-3 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
59%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.2
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.72
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.0
1/X
5%
17.5
X/1
8%
10.45
X/2
14%
3.97
X/X
11%
5.4
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
35%
2.02
2/X
5%
15.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.0 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
59%
Away Win
58%
+0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
0.84/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/0.75
-25% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
154 · 60% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Linfield FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
43% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.12.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
17.08.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
27.01.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
16.01.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
09.12.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-3 HT 1-3 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
12.08.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-3 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC cruised past Dungannon Swifts 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 2.33 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield FC?

Dungannon Swifts 0-3 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 20%, draw 21%, Linfield FC 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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