Portadown FC 3-1 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.39/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.85
-31% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Loughgall FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.01.2025 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
12.10.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
20.08.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
05.12.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KILK
26.12.2019 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC saw off Loughgall FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portadown FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Portadown FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Portadown FC and 0.40 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Loughgall FC?

Portadown FC 3-1 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 56%, draw 23%, Loughgall FC 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portadown FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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