Club America vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club America v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Club America
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Queretaro
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Club America
MEK
Club America 1-0 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
Club America squeezed past Queretaro 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Club America had 74% of the ball to Queretaro's 26%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.69 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Club America's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club America and 0.33 for Queretaro.
What was the final score of Club America vs Queretaro?
Club America 1-0 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club America vs Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Club America 72%, draw 17%, Queretaro 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.