Atlas 0-3 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.15/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.28
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.7 Crosses 16.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pachuca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Pachuca Pachuca 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
14.09.2024 Atlas Atlas 2-0 HT 2-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
01.02.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 4-3 HT 3-2 Atlas Atlas MEK
02.11.2023 Atlas Atlas 0-2 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
16.04.2023 Atlas Atlas 4-1 HT 3-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
26.08.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 3-1 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlas
0-3
AWAY Pachuca
0.81 xG 0.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
395 Passes 349
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atlas vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca ran out comfortable winners over Atlas 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atlas had 53% of the ball to Pachuca's 47%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.81 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atlas and 1.67 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of Atlas vs Pachuca?

Atlas 0-3 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atlas 28%, draw 28%, Pachuca 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
10 Aug 2025
04:00 Club America vs Queretaro Analysis →
06:00 Mazatlan vs Tijuana Analysis →