Mazatlan 2-2 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 10 Aug 2025

Mazatlan
2-2 HT 0-1
Tijuana
📅10/08/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Mazatlan vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mazatlan v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.40/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.39
+18% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
16.8 Crosses 13.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Mazatlan vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tijuana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.61 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
346 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.04.2025 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-2 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
28.09.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 1-0 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
30.03.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-0 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
26.08.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
15.04.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
31.07.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK

Mazatlan 2-2 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
2-2
AWAY Tijuana
2.23 xG 1.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
386 Passes 295
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan and Tijuana couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mazatlan had 56% of the ball to Tijuana's 44%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.23 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mazatlan and 1.33 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Tijuana?

Mazatlan 2-2 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 40%, draw 23%, Tijuana 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mazatlan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mazatlan) ✓ BTTS Yes
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