Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jagiellonia Bialystok v Cracovia Krakow — Team-Based Signals
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 0-2
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
1-1
HT 1-0
Cracovia Krakow
POL
1-0
HT 0-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
Jagiellonia Bialystok 5-2 Cracovia Krakow — Actual Match Statistics
Jagiellonia Bialystok cruised past Cracovia Krakow 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 64% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 36%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 3.01 to 2.60.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 2.17 for Cracovia Krakow.
What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Cracovia Krakow?
Jagiellonia Bialystok 5-2 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Cracovia Krakow?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 45%, draw 26%, Cracovia Krakow 29%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.