Amarante vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Amarante v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Amarante vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Varzim
POK
Amarante 0-1 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim squeezed past Amarante 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Varzim found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Amarante had 44% of the ball to Varzim's 56%, shots finished 5-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Amarante had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Amarante and 0.80 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Amarante vs Varzim?
Amarante 0-1 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Amarante vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated an Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Amarante 32%, draw 30%, Varzim 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.