Radnicki Nis 2-3 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.58/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.40
+19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
24.0 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki Nis
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
289 Passes 352
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2025 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-3 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
09.11.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 2-1 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
24.05.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
15.04.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-2 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
10.11.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
12.02.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki Nis
2-3
AWAY Novi Pazar
2.20 xG 2.13
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
285 Passes 143
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
34 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnicki Nis vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar edged past Radnicki Nis 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Radnicki Nis at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnicki Nis had 62% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 38%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 2.20 to 2.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Radnicki Nis and 1.50 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Radnicki Nis vs Novi Pazar?

Radnicki Nis 2-3 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki Nis vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki Nis win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Radnicki Nis 45%, draw 26%, Novi Pazar 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radnicki Nis), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki Nis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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