Curaçao vs Bermuda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Curaçao v Bermuda — Team-Based Signals
Curaçao 3-2 Bermuda — Actual Match Statistics
Curaçao squeezed past Bermuda 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Curaçao as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Curaçao had 65% of the ball to Bermuda's 35%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.86 to 1.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Curaçao's control.
What was the final score of Curaçao vs Bermuda?
Curaçao 3-2 Bermuda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Curaçao vs Bermuda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Curaçao win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Curaçao 78%, draw 12%, Bermuda 10%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curaçao), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.