Ekvador vs Arjantin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ekvador v Arjantin — Team-Based Signals
Ekvador vs Arjantin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Ekvador
DKE
1-1
HT 0-1
Arjantin
DKE
3-0
HT 1-0
Ekvador
AKU
1-0
HT 1-0
Ekvador
DKE
Ekvador 1-0 Arjantin — Actual Match Statistics
Ekvador nicked a narrow win over Arjantin 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 36% / 33% — and on the day Ekvador made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%) came in.
On the day, Ekvador had 43% of the ball to Arjantin's 57%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.69 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ekvador's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arjantin led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ekvador and 1.33 for Arjantin.
What was the final score of Ekvador vs Arjantin?
Ekvador 1-0 Arjantin in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ekvador vs Arjantin?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ekvador 31%, draw 36%, Arjantin 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.