Venezuela 3-6 Kolombiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Sep 2025

Venezuela
3-6 HT 2-2
Kolombiya
📅10/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Venezuela vs Kolombiya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.35
6+ Goals
6%
23.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 37% vs market 32.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.04
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
16%
5.64
X/2
18%
5.54
X/X
14%
3.81
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
12%
3.93
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezuela v Kolombiya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezuela EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.29/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.86
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 81%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.1 Crosses 21.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1

Venezuela vs Kolombiya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezuela
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kolombiya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.42 xG 1.41
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
239 Passes 424
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.12.2023 Kolombiya Kolombiya 1-0 HT 1-0 Venezuela Venezuela HAZ
08.09.2023 Kolombiya Kolombiya 1-0 HT 0-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
30.03.2022 Venezuela Venezuela 0-1 HT 0-1 Kolombiya Kolombiya DKE
18.06.2021 Kolombiya Kolombiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Venezuela Venezuela AKU
10.10.2020 Kolombiya Kolombiya 3-0 HT 3-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
11.09.2019 Kolombiya Kolombiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Venezuela Venezuela HAZ

Venezuela 3-6 Kolombiya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezuela
3-6
AWAY Kolombiya
1.21 xG 2.14
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 2
223 Passes 432
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Venezuela vs Kolombiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolombiya swept aside Venezuela 6-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Kolombiya found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Venezuela had 36% of the ball to Kolombiya's 64%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.21 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolombiya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Venezuela and 1.00 for Kolombiya.

What was the final score of Venezuela vs Kolombiya?

Venezuela 3-6 Kolombiya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezuela vs Kolombiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolombiya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Venezuela 33%, draw 29%, Kolombiya 38%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolombiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolombiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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