Peru 0-1 Paraguay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Sep 2025

Peru
0-1 HT 0-0
Paraguay
📅10/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Peru vs Paraguay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.7
Away
25%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.33
Over 2.5
36%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.73
2-3 Goals
34%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
7.76
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.07
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.96
X/2
8%
5.59
X/X
19%
2.97
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.86
2/X
4%
15.8
Value flag · X/1 at 4.96 — our 23% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
36%
+11.9pp
27%
Draw
34%
-6.3pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-5.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
72%
-7.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
28%
+7.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.3pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peru v Paraguay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peru EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.05/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.44
-32% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
11.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
13.2 Crosses 19.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3

Peru vs Paraguay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peru
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Paraguay
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.66 xG 0.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
293 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.06.2024 Peru Peru 0-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay Paraguay HAZTUR
08.09.2023 Paraguay Paraguay 0-0 HT 0-0 Peru Peru DKE
17.11.2022 Peru Peru 1-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay Paraguay HAZ
30.03.2022 Peru Peru 2-0 HT 2-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
03.07.2021 Peru Peru 3-3 HT 2-1 Paraguay Paraguay AKU
09.10.2020 Paraguay Paraguay 2-2 HT 0-0 Peru Peru DKE

Peru 0-1 Paraguay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peru
0-1
AWAY Paraguay
0.71 xG 0.42
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
424 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peru vs Paraguay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay squeezed past Peru 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Peru at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Peru had 55% of the ball to Paraguay's 45%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.71 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peru had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Peru and 0.83 for Paraguay.

What was the final score of Peru vs Paraguay?

Peru 0-1 Paraguay in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peru vs Paraguay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peru win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Peru 48%, draw 27%, Paraguay 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Peru) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peru) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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