Bolivya 1-0 Brezilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Sep 2025

📅10/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.07
6+ Goals
7%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.42
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
10%
6.95
X/2
17%
4.68
X/X
15%
4.09
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.94
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivya EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya EU Bookmakers 48%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.49/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.70
+19% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.9 Crosses 8.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivya
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Brezilya
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.41 xG 3.51
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
200 Passes 531
73% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.09.2023 Brezilya Brezilya 5-1 HT 1-0 Bolivya Bolivya Güney Amerika - DK Elemeler
30.03.2022 Bolivya Bolivya 0-4 HT 0-2 Brezilya Brezilya DKE
10.10.2020 Brezilya Brezilya 5-0 HT 2-0 Bolivya Bolivya DKE
15.06.2019 Brezilya Brezilya 3-0 HT 0-0 Bolivya Bolivya AKU
05.10.2017 Bolivya Bolivya 0-0 HT 0-0 Brezilya Brezilya DKE
07.10.2016 Brezilya Brezilya 5-0 HT 4-0 Bolivya Bolivya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivya
1-0
AWAY Brezilya
1.84 xG 0.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
23 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
272 Passes 383
88% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolivya vs Brezilya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivya nicked a narrow win over Brezilya 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brezilya at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bolivya had 42% of the ball to Brezilya's 58%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 1.84 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bolivya's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brezilya led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Bolivya and 3.67 for Brezilya.

What was the final score of Bolivya vs Brezilya?

Bolivya 1-0 Brezilya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivya vs Brezilya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brezilya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bolivya 24%, draw 30%, Brezilya 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Brezilya), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brezilya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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