İspanya U21 4-3 Kazakistan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
4.0
Over
63%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
10.1
2-3
35%
2.55
4-5
29%
2.32
6+
17%
3.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
İspanya U21 win — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
85%
-15.8pp
18%
Draw
8%
+9.6pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya U21 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazakistan U21 EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.20/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.30
+5% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +27%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
566 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 77%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.2
23.3 Crosses 5.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya U21
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Kazakistan U21
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
72% Ball Possession 28%
22 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
17.10.2023 Kazakistan U21 Kazakistan U21 0-4 HT 0-1 İspanya U21 İspanya U21 U21
13.10.2020 İspanya U21 İspanya U21 3-0 HT 0-0 Kazakistan U21 Kazakistan U21 U21
06.09.2019 Kazakistan U21 Kazakistan U21 0-1 HT 0-1 İspanya U21 İspanya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya U21
4-3
AWAY Kazakistan U21
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İspanya U21 vs Kazakistan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya U21 nicked a narrow win over Kazakistan U21 4-3. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had İspanya U21 as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, İspanya U21 had 67% of the ball to Kazakistan U21's 33%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İspanya U21 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for İspanya U21 and 0.00 for Kazakistan U21.

What was the final score of İspanya U21 vs Kazakistan U21?

İspanya U21 4-3 Kazakistan U21 in the European U21 on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya U21 vs Kazakistan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split İspanya U21 69%, draw 18%, Kazakistan U21 13%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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