Estonya U21 1-0 İsrail U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.51
Over
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.25
2-3
36%
1.79
4-5
20%
5.47
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.83
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
7%
5.93
X/2
20%
4.73
X/X
19%
3.58
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.52
2/X
3%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estonya U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY İsrail U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.04/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.92
-20% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -35%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estonya U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İsrail U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
07.09.2024 İsrail U21 İsrail U21 1-0 HT 0-0 Estonya U21 Estonya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estonya U21
1-0
AWAY İsrail U21
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Estonya U21 vs İsrail U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estonya U21 edged past İsrail U21 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was İsrail U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Estonya U21 had 34% of the ball to İsrail U21's 66%, shots finished 7-23.

What was the final score of Estonya U21 vs İsrail U21?

Estonya U21 1-0 İsrail U21 in the European U21 on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estonya U21 vs İsrail U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an İsrail U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Estonya U21 27%, draw 28%, İsrail U21 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (İsrail U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İsrail U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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