Macaristan U21 2-1 Malta U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.59
Over
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.75
No
54%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.65
2-3
40%
2.02
4-5
25%
2.62
6+
13%
6.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Macaristan U21 win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-18.4pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.8pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.3pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macaristan U21 EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Malta U21 EU Bookmakers 8%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.14/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.73
-5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -19%
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
548 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 74%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
16.0 Crosses 1.6
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macaristan U21
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Malta U21
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 0.21
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
413 Passes 277
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
43 Box Touches 5
16 Crosses 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
12.09.2023 Malta U21 Malta U21 0-3 HT 0-2 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 U21
12.10.2018 Malta U21 Malta U21 2-1 HT 1-0 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 U21
05.09.2017 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 2-1 HT 1-1 Malta U21 Malta U21 U21
29.02.2012 Malta U21 Malta U21 1-3 HT 1-2 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macaristan U21
2-1
AWAY Malta U21
1.95 xG 1.09
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
550 Passes 274
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Macaristan U21 vs Malta U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macaristan U21 nicked a narrow win over Malta U21 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Macaristan U21 as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Macaristan U21 had 64% of the ball to Malta U21's 36%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.95 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Macaristan U21 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Macaristan U21 and 1.00 for Malta U21.

What was the final score of Macaristan U21 vs Malta U21?

Macaristan U21 2-1 Malta U21 in the European U21 on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macaristan U21 vs Malta U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macaristan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Macaristan U21 64%, draw 20%, Malta U21 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macaristan U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macaristan U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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