10/10/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
3-0
İzlanda U21 vs Litvanya U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
İzlanda U21 win — 71% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
BTTS No
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
75%
17%
Draw
17%
11%
Away Win
9%
43%
Under 2.5
39%
57%
Over 2.5
61%
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
59%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İzlanda U21 v Litvanya U21 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
İzlanda U21
EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Litvanya U21
EU Bookmakers 11%
+4% /
+6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
-1%
4.96/0.57
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.38/3.39
+80%
/
-8%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-31%
/
-20%
61%
Ball Possession
39%
15
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
2
442 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
241 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.7
Yellow Cards
2.3
İzlanda U21 vs Litvanya U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
İzlanda U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Litvanya U21
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
17.10.2023
Litvanya U21
0-1
HT 0-0
İzlanda U21
U21
0-1
HT 0-0
İzlanda U21
U21
POST-MATCH
İzlanda U21 vs Litvanya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Litvanya U21 saw off İzlanda U21 2-0 away from home.
This one beat our numbers. İzlanda U21 carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
What was the final score of İzlanda U21 vs Litvanya U21?
İzlanda U21 0-2 Litvanya U21 in the European U21 on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İzlanda U21 vs Litvanya U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a İzlanda U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split İzlanda U21 71%, draw 17%, Litvanya U21 11%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (İzlanda U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (İzlanda U21)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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