İsveç U21 vs Gürcistan U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İsveç U21 v Gürcistan U21 — Team-Based Signals
İsveç U21 vs Gürcistan U21 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
İsveç U21
U21
3-2
HT 1-1
Gürcistan U21
U21
0-1
HT 0-0
İsveç U21
U21
İsveç U21 3-2 Gürcistan U21 — Actual Match Statistics
İsveç U21 edged past Gürcistan U21 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had İsveç U21 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, İsveç U21 had 57% of the ball to Gürcistan U21's 43%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 2.55 to 0.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İsveç U21's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İsveç U21 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for İsveç U21 and 0.67 for Gürcistan U21.
What was the final score of İsveç U21 vs Gürcistan U21?
İsveç U21 3-2 Gürcistan U21 in the European U21 on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İsveç U21 vs Gürcistan U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split İsveç U21 49%, draw 28%, Gürcistan U21 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İsveç U21), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.