Dundalk vs Finn Harps Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundalk v Finn Harps — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Finn Harps Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Dundalk
İRL
3-0
HT 3-0
Finn Harps
İRL
0-1
HT 0-0
Dundalk
İRL
Dundalk 3-0 Finn Harps — Actual Match Statistics
Dundalk ran out comfortable winners over Finn Harps 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Dundalk had 63% of the ball to Finn Harps's 37%, shots finished 19-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dundalk and 0.50 for Finn Harps.
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Finn Harps?
Dundalk 3-0 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Finn Harps?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 75%, draw 14%, Finn Harps 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.