Kerry 0-2 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.68
No
59%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 36% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
24%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.3pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 42%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.38/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.50
+3% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wexford Youths
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
27.06.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 4-3 HT 1-3 Kerry İR1
16.05.2025 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
21.03.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-2 HT 0-2 Kerry İR1
11.10.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 4-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
28.06.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
17.05.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths beat Kerry 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wexford Youths as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kerry and 2.17 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Wexford Youths?

Kerry 0-2 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kerry 32%, draw 25%, Wexford Youths 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wexford Youths), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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