Kerry 1-1 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.39
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 30% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 36%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.26/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.54
-13% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wexford Youths
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.03.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-2 HT 0-2 Kerry İR1
11.10.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 4-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
28.06.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
17.05.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
29.03.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
06.10.2023 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry and Wexford Youths couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kerry and 1.83 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Wexford Youths?

Kerry 1-1 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kerry 40%, draw 25%, Wexford Youths 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kerry), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kerry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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