Treaty United 4-0 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.5pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 42%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
0.93/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.27
-32% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
436 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.03.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-0 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
11.10.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 2-2 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
12.07.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
26.04.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-2 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
23.02.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
16.09.2022 Treaty United Treaty United 4-1 HT 2-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
4-0
AWAY Univ College Dublin
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United swept aside Univ College Dublin 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Treaty United found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Treaty United had 48% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 52%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Treaty United and 1.00 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin?

Treaty United 4-0 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 33%, draw 29%, Univ College Dublin 38%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Univ College Dublin), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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