Wexford Youths 4-3 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.51
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.67/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.86
+18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kerry
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
16.05.2025 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
21.03.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-2 HT 0-2 Kerry İR1
11.10.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 4-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
28.06.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
17.05.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
29.03.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths edged past Kerry 4-3. It was 1-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Wexford Youths made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wexford Youths and 0.83 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Kerry?

Wexford Youths 4-3 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 38%, draw 29%, Kerry 32%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wexford Youths), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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