İzlanda vs Ukrayna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İzlanda v Ukrayna — Team-Based Signals
İzlanda vs Ukrayna Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Ukrayna
DKE
1-1
HT 1-1
İzlanda
DKE
İzlanda 3-5 Ukrayna — Actual Match Statistics
Ukrayna saw off İzlanda 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ukrayna as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, İzlanda had 65% of the ball to Ukrayna's 35%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.97 to 1.00.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for İzlanda and 1.00 for Ukrayna.
What was the final score of İzlanda vs Ukrayna?
İzlanda 3-5 Ukrayna in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İzlanda vs Ukrayna?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ukrayna win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split İzlanda 26%, draw 25%, Ukrayna 49%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ukrayna), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.