Gambiya 3-4 Gabon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.52
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
50%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
21.6
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.72 — our 50% vs market 49.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gambiya EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gabon EU Bookmakers 48%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.00/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-4% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gambiya
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gabon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
11.06.2024 Gabon Gabon 3-2 HT 0-1 Gambiya Gambiya DKE
16.11.2020 Gambiya Gambiya 2-1 HT 0-0 Gabon Gabon AFUK
12.11.2020 Gabon Gabon 2-1 HT 1-0 Gambiya Gambiya AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gambiya
3-4
AWAY Gabon
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gambiya vs Gabon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gabon nicked a narrow win over Gambiya 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gabon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gambiya had 55% of the ball to Gabon's 45%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gabon led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gambiya and 2.00 for Gabon.

What was the final score of Gambiya vs Gabon?

Gambiya 3-4 Gabon in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gambiya vs Gabon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gabon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gambiya 33%, draw 26%, Gabon 42%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gabon), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gabon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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