Gabon 3-2 Gambiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.52
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gabon EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gambiya EU Bookmakers 24%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.63/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+28% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gabon
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gambiya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
16.11.2020 Gambiya Gambiya 2-1 HT 0-0 Gabon Gabon AFUK
12.11.2020 Gabon Gabon 2-1 HT 1-0 Gambiya Gambiya AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gabon
3-2
AWAY Gambiya
50% Ball Possession 50%
POST-MATCH Gabon vs Gambiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gabon nicked a narrow win over Gambiya 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gabon as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gabon had 50% of the ball to Gambiya's 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gabon and 1.50 for Gambiya.

What was the final score of Gabon vs Gambiya?

Gabon 3-2 Gambiya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gabon vs Gambiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gabon win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gabon 48%, draw 28%, Gambiya 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gabon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gabon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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