Cruzeiro vs Criciuma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Criciuma — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Criciuma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Criciuma
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR2
3-1
HT 0-1
Criciuma
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
5-3
HT 2-3
Criciuma
BR1
Cruzeiro 2-1 Criciuma — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro squeezed past Criciuma 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 63% of the ball to Criciuma's 37%, shots finished 26-12, expected goals 3.18 to 1.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cruzeiro's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.00 for Criciuma.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Criciuma?
Cruzeiro 2-1 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie A on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Criciuma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 43%, draw 28%, Criciuma 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.