Guanacasteca vs Municipal Liberia Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guanacasteca v Municipal Liberia — Team-Based Signals
Guanacasteca vs Municipal Liberia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-1
Municipal Liberia
KOSTA
0-1
HT 0-1
Guanacasteca
KOSTA
Guanacasteca 1-0 Municipal Liberia — Actual Match Statistics
Guanacasteca squeezed past Municipal Liberia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Guanacasteca found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Guanacasteca had 40% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 60%, shots finished 9-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guanacasteca and 0.67 for Municipal Liberia.
What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Municipal Liberia?
Guanacasteca 1-0 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Municipal Liberia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 34%, draw 31%, Municipal Liberia 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Municipal Liberia) went the other way.