Hamrun Spartans 5-0 Swieqi United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MFAK, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
30%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-15.4pp
23%
Draw
13%
+10.1pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.8pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Swieqi United EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
466 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
5-0
AWAY Swieqi United
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Swieqi United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans cruised past Swieqi United 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 55% of the ball to Swieqi United's 45%, shots finished 9-3.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Swieqi United?

Hamrun Spartans 5-0 Swieqi United in the MFAK on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Swieqi United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 65%, draw 23%, Swieqi United 12%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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