Naxxar Lions vs Melita Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naxxar Lions v Melita — Team-Based Signals
Naxxar Lions vs Melita Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Naxxar Lions 4-2 Melita — Actual Match Statistics
Naxxar Lions saw off Melita 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naxxar Lions as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Naxxar Lions had 49% of the ball to Melita's 51%, shots finished 12-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naxxar Lions had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Naxxar Lions and 0.00 for Melita.
What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Melita?
Naxxar Lions 4-2 Melita in the MFAK on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Melita?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naxxar Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 42%, draw 24%, Melita 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naxxar Lions), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.