Birkirkara 2-1 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MFAK, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Balzan FC
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.01.2025 Birkirkara Birkirkara 5-2 HT 1-2 Balzan FC Balzan FC MALTP
16.08.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 3-3 HT 2-2 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
02.03.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 0-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
29.10.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
15.02.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTAK
10.12.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-1 HT 1-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
2-1
AWAY Balzan FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara nicked a narrow win over Balzan FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Birkirkara as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Birkirkara had 55% of the ball to Balzan FC's 45%, shots finished 7-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Birkirkara and 1.50 for Balzan FC.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Balzan FC?

Birkirkara 2-1 Balzan FC in the MFAK on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 48%, draw 29%, Balzan FC 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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