Marsaxlokk FC 0-3 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MFAK, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-9.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Mosta
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 2-4 HT 2-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
03.03.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
28.10.2023 Mosta Mosta 3-2 HT 2-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
08.01.2023 Mosta Mosta 2-1 HT 1-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
27.08.2022 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-4 HT 1-3 Mosta Mosta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
0-3
AWAY Mosta
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta ran out comfortable winners over Marsaxlokk FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Mosta found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 57% of the ball to Mosta's 43%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mosta led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 3.00 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Mosta?

Marsaxlokk FC 0-3 Mosta in the MFAK on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mosta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 32%, draw 31%, Mosta 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mosta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mosta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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