Pieta Hotspurs 1-5 Marsa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MFAK, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
35%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pieta Hotspurs EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsa FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pieta Hotspurs
1-5
AWAY Marsa FC
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pieta Hotspurs vs Marsa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsa FC swept aside Pieta Hotspurs 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Pieta Hotspurs at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pieta Hotspurs had 49% of the ball to Marsa FC's 51%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Pieta Hotspurs vs Marsa FC?

Pieta Hotspurs 1-5 Marsa FC in the MFAK on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pieta Hotspurs vs Marsa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pieta Hotspurs win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pieta Hotspurs 42%, draw 26%, Marsa FC 32%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pieta Hotspurs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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