Sporting CP vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting CP v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Sporting CP
POR
2-2
HT 2-0
Benfica
POR
Sporting CP 1-1 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP and Benfica shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (32% / 36% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.
On the day, Sporting CP had 44% of the ball to Benfica's 56%, shots finished 11-16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sporting CP and 1.33 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Benfica?
Sporting CP 1-1 Benfica in the Portugal - League Cup on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 32%, draw 36%, Benfica 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.