Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Olympiakos v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals
Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
Aris Saloniki
YUN
2-1
HT 1-0
Olympiakos
YUN
Olympiakos 2-1 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics
Olympiakos edged past Aris Saloniki 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Olympiakos had 65% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 35%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.60 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Olympiakos's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Olympiakos and 1.17 for Aris Saloniki.
What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki?
Olympiakos 2-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki?
Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 60%, draw 25%, Aris Saloniki 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.