Aris Saloniki 1-1 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
31%
4.34
Away
48%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
11.25
1/2
8%
22.3
1/X
5%
18.65
X/1
7%
14.35
X/2
16%
3.64
X/X EV+ ✓
19%
6.41
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.72
2/X
6%
17.85
Value flag · X/X at 6.41 — our 19% vs market 11.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.8pp
31%
Draw
20%
+10.9pp
48%
Away Win
66%
-17.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.8pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 70%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.28/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.64
+85% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +46%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
12.9 Crosses 21.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Olympiakos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.80 xG 2.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
343 Passes 405
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 3-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
21.01.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-2 HT 0-2 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
27.09.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-1 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
26.04.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
02.04.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-2 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
25.01.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
1-1
AWAY Olympiakos
1.02 xG 3.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 11
238 Passes 411
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 40
12 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki and Olympiakos shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Olympiakos at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 38% of the ball to Olympiakos's 62%, shots finished 16-23, expected goals 1.02 to 3.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aris Saloniki and 2.17 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Olympiakos?

Aris Saloniki 1-1 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 21%, draw 31%, Olympiakos 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olympiakos), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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