Cancun FC 3-1 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.53
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.91
Over
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Cancun FC win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
68%
Home Win
62%
+6.6pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.1pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa The Market 19%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
2.20/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.29
+11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
03.08.2025 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
09.03.2025 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
30.10.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 4-1 HT 4-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
10.04.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-2 HT 1-2 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
13.08.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
18.01.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cancun FC
3-1
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC got the better of Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cancun FC as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Cancun FC had 52% of the ball to Dorados De Sinaloa's 48%, shots finished 15-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cancun FC and 1.33 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Cancun FC 3-1 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 68%, draw 17%, Dorados De Sinaloa 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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