Monarcas Morelia vs Correcaminos UAT Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monarcas Morelia v Correcaminos UAT — Team-Based Signals
Monarcas Morelia vs Correcaminos UAT Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monarcas Morelia 3-0 Correcaminos UAT — Actual Match Statistics
Monarcas Morelia cruised past Correcaminos UAT 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monarcas Morelia as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Monarcas Morelia had 65% of the ball to Correcaminos UAT's 35%, shots finished 24-2.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.67 for Correcaminos UAT.
What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Correcaminos UAT?
Monarcas Morelia 3-0 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Correcaminos UAT?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 66%, draw 19%, Correcaminos UAT 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.