Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Atlante — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 Atlante — Actual Match Statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos and Atlante couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Atlante at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Tepatitlán de Morelos had 42% of the ball to Atlante's 58%, shots finished 11-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.00 for Atlante.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 29%, draw 28%, Atlante 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atlante), BTTS No went the other way.