Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlante v Tepatitlán de Morelos — Team-Based Signals
Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
Atlante 1-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Actual Match Statistics
Atlante and Tepatitlán de Morelos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atlante at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Atlante had 50% of the ball to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 50%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atlante and 1.00 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.
What was the final score of Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Atlante 1-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Atlante 67%, draw 21%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atlante), Over 2.5 went the other way.