Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Atlante — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
0-0
HT 0-0
Atlante
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 Atlante — Actual Match Statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos squeezed past Atlante 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Atlante at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Tepatitlán de Morelos had 56% of the ball to Atlante's 44%, shots finished 11-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.17 for Atlante.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 13/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 31%, draw 19%, Atlante 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.