Coventry 1-0 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 29.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.68
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
14%
4.38
X/2
7%
7.5
X/X
18%
4.39
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
13%
6.08
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +22%
1.36/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.26
-21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.1 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 0.84
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
366 Passes 314
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
04.05.2024 Coventry Coventry 1-2 HT 0-2 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
30.09.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-3 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
15.04.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-3 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
12.11.2022 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
22.01.2022 Coventry Coventry 1-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
1-0
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.12 xG 0.84
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 9
371 Passes 226
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry nicked a narrow win over Queens Park Rangers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coventry as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Coventry had 59% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 41%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.12 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Coventry and 1.00 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Queens Park Rangers?

Coventry 1-0 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Coventry 42%, draw 29%, Queens Park Rangers 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
11 Feb 2025
22:45 Derby County vs Oxford United Analysis →
22:45 Portsmouth vs Cardiff City Analysis →
22:45 Watford vs Leeds United Analysis →
23:00 Norwich City vs Preston North End Analysis →