Norwich City 0-1 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No OUR CALL
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
23%
4.16
X/2
8%
9.28
X/X
13%
4.83
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
11%
7.65
2/X
5%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.65/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.23
+2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.4 Crosses 15.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Preston North End
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.76 xG 1.15
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
448 Passes 202
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2024 Preston North End Preston North End 2-2 HT 2-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
13.04.2024 Preston North End Preston North End 0-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
09.12.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
14.01.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 0-4 HT 0-3 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
08.10.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 2-3 HT 1-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
02.04.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
0-1
AWAY Preston North End
0.72 xG 0.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
446 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End edged past Norwich City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Norwich City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Norwich City had 59% of the ball to Preston North End's 41%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.72 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Norwich City and 1.00 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Preston North End?

Norwich City 0-1 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 51%, draw 25%, Preston North End 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Norwich City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norwich City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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