Caernarfon Town 0-1 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 11 Feb 2025

Caernarfon Town
0-1 HT 0-1
The New Saints
📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
63%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.74
Over 2.5
68%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.99
2-3 Goals
36%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.41
6+ Goals
19%
4.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+10.9pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.2pp
63%
Away Win
74%
-10.6pp
32%
Under 2.5
33%
-1.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
67%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caernarfon Town v The New Saints — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 78%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
0.97/3.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.88/0.72
+18% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +29%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
280 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3

Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caernarfon Town
1W-0D-5L
AWAY The New Saints
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.33
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
26.12.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-5 HT 2-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
09.10.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 1-2 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
05.04.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 7-1 HT 4-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
23.02.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-8 HT 1-4 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
26.12.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 0-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
26.09.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-3 HT 1-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
POST-MATCH Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints edged past Caernarfon Town 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Caernarfon Town and 4.33 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints?

Caernarfon Town 0-1 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 21%, draw 16%, The New Saints 63%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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