Pro Patria 1-0 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.17
6+ Goals
8%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 52%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.81/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.24
-23% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cittadella
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2025 Cittadella Cittadella 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1-0
AWAY Cittadella
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria edged past Cittadella 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cittadella at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Pro Patria had 45% of the ball to Cittadella's 55%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Cittadella?

Pro Patria 1-0 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie C on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 26%, draw 26%, Cittadella 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cittadella) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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