Union Brescia 3-1 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
67%
-4.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Brescia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 15%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -5%
1.44/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.65
-15% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Brescia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Virtus Verona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Brescia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Brescia
3-1
AWAY Virtus Verona
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Brescia vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Brescia saw off Virtus Verona 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Brescia as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Union Brescia had 52% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 48%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of Union Brescia vs Virtus Verona?

Union Brescia 3-1 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Brescia vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Union Brescia 62%, draw 21%, Virtus Verona 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Brescia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Brescia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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