Virtus Verona 1-1 Union Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
60%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.68
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+2.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
60%
Away Win
59%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Brescia EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
222 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
1-1
AWAY Union Brescia
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Union Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona and Union Brescia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Union Brescia at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 43% of the ball to Union Brescia's 57%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Union Brescia?

Virtus Verona 1-1 Union Brescia in the Italy - Serie C on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Union Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 20%, draw 21%, Union Brescia 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Brescia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Brescia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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